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Are DSA Mayors the Future of the Democratic Party?

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LLM (google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-20260507) summary:

  • Electoral Surge: democratic socialists of america candidates are clinching mayoral victories in major cities, reflecting a coordinated effort to secure institutional influence within the american political landscape.
  • Strategic Alliances: mainstream democrats are delusionally courting these radicals, hoping to leverage their perceived popularity with younger demographics to salvage their own flagging relevance.
  • Governance Illusion: these socialist mayors masquerade as moderate pragmatists, but their underlying agendas consistently prioritize performative class warfare over substantive economic solutions.
  • Organizational Machinations: the socialist strategy involves establishing exclusionary power centers, actively sidelining traditional labor unions and established political machines in favor of their own activist-led apparatus.
  • Housing Hypocrisy: despite adopting the vocabulary of housing abundance, these leaders maintain crippling regulations and punitive policies that actively stifle the private investment necessary to alleviate scarcity.
  • Economic Sabotage: the ideological hostility toward capital and property owners threatens to accelerate capital flight, ultimately bankrupting the very municipalities they intend to govern.
  • Radical Alignment: the movement is inexorably tethered to a national organization increasingly obsessed with maoism, support for hostile foreign regimes, and the romanticization of political violence.
  • Historical Folly: the center-left continues its repetitive pattern of enabling extremists, ignoring the reality that such partnerships historically culminate in political catastrophe and economic decline.

Courtesy Paul Morigi/SPACEs in Action/Getty.

Although the results are not yet fully in, it seems likely that Janeese Lewis George will be the next mayor of Washington, D.C. With 65 percent of votes counted as of this writing, Lewis George leads fellow city council member Kenyan McDuffie by 16 percentage points; she may even clear the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a run-off. That’s a decisive conclusion for a race that pitted the more moderate McDuffie against Lewis George, an endorsee and member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). If the down-ballot results hold up, last night looks to have been a route for the Left in general, and the DSA in particular.

Assuming she wins, that will make Lewis George yet another DSA member running an important American city. She’ll be added to the list with not just New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani, but also Seattle mayor Katie Wilson. There are other aspirants, including most notably council member Nithya Raman, the DSA member who unexpected bested reality star and right-wing insurgent Spencer Pratt to take second place in the Los Angeles mayoral primary. (Raman is unlikely to beat incumbent mayor Karen Bass in the run-off, although the betting markets give her better odds than they gave Pratt.)

These new, openly socialist mayors have a certain allure to more traditional Democrats. With their party’s popularity in the pits, and its leaders increasingly aged, more moderate Dems see the obvious appeal to the hot new force in local politics. The DSA electeds also form their coalition from politically activated Americans under 50—a must-win group among Democrats, but also one increasingly dissatisfied with the party. The fact that some of these mayors have at least nominally leaned into pro-housing YIMBYism makes it all the easier for some on the “abundance” center-left to wonder if they’re better aligned with the socialist than they are with the establishment.

That’s all understandable. But the DSA’s electoral success should not be confused for policy success—much like the establishment Dems they replace, the DSA mayors are confusing class warfare for actual solutions to the affordability crisis. And in embracing them, mainstream Democrats also risk welcoming in an organization that has quietly grown disturbingly radical, a fact that could prove politically disastrous in the long run.

The wave of DSA mayoral candidates—and local candidates more generally—is the product of careful planning. It in part reflects Mamdani’s upset victory over former Governor Andrew Cuomo, which proved that a socialist could win a mayoralty in a city as significant as New York. But it is also the result of a concerted effort on the part of the DSA to establish itself as a separate power center in blue-city politics.

For example, as Michael Lange wrote recently, the New York City DSA has moved to muscle out the city’s unions, embodied in the Working Families Party. That looks like the current primary in New York’s seventh congressional district, which features WFP-backed Brooklyn borough president Antonio Reynoso in a fight for his political life against DSA-backed insurgent Clare Valdez. Mamdani is consciously building his “machine,” New York Magazine’s David Friedlander writes—a machine that includes his “Office of Mass Engagement,” an officially sanctioned activist wing of City Hall.

The DSA’s strategy is built on a distinct electorate. Traditional Democrats—like Bass, Cuomo, McDuffie, and Bruce Harrell, whom Wilson defeated in Seattle—tend to rely on the backing of the institutional Democratic machine to turn out votes. That machine, in turn, often relies on working-class voters activated by unions and by the party’s infrastructure.

The DSA generally has no access to the latter, and is not necessarily influential in the former, though some unions are increasingly divided between traditional and socialist factions. What it has instead is a cohort of thousands of ideologically committed young(ish) adults, willing to knock on doors to get out the vote for its candidates.

DSA candidates’ priorities are often shaped by the concerns of these constituents. Mamdani’s affordability messaging, as Manhattan Institute president Reihan Salam has argued, was tailored to the concerns of credentialed but downwardly mobile Millennials—people who feel the city is too expensive to afford them the kind of life they expected. Wilson, Lewis George, and Raman have similarly emphasized housing affordability. At the same time, many of these candidates tell a consistent story about why costs are too high: greed on the part of their cities’ ultra-wealthy, who are unwilling to pay their fair share, and of whom punitive taxation is therefore appropriate.

In spite of this, the DSA’s willingness to seize on the affordability narrative—especially on housing—has made them appealing to the pro-housing “abundance” wing of the Democratic Party. That’s helped by DSA electeds’ and candidates’ willingness to endorse moderate reforms to permitting and other minor barriers to housing—as, for example, in Raman’s platform or Mamdani’s SPEED reforms. Against the sclerosis of the Democratic establishment, an apparent bias for action may make the DSA appealing to more moderate Democrats eager for change.

To be sure, concessions on permitting reform are welcome, no matter whom they come from. But the high cost of living in America’s major metros are not simply the result of minor procedural hurdles, but of a more comprehensive opposition to allowing the market to supply what is demanded. And the DSA’s open hostility toward the people who do the supplying is incompatible with actually existing abundance.

This hostility manifests itself in policy. Mamdani’s administration has worked to seize property from landlords while pushing the city’s business community out. Lewis George has promised to strengthen D.C.’s Tenant Opportunity to Purchase Act, which gives tenants the right of first refusal to purchase—and which has helped cripple the city’s housing market. Wilson has dismissed millionaires fleeing Seattle—even as they are taking with them the tax base needed to sustain her promised expansion of government—and “abundant” construction using union-built social housing. Raman has taken meaningful steps toward reform, like pushing to fix Measure ULA, but she also emphasizes the need for new housing to be built by “well-paid union labor”—a dogwhistle for preserving prevailing wage standards.

This ideological posturing can have real economic consequences. Permitting reform can only get you so far if investment dries up and no one wants to build for fear that their property will be seized in a questionably constitutional taking. Cities are subject to exit-based vetoes—scaring off talent and capital risks killing the golden goose.

Even if they weren’t so explicitly appropriative, these mayors would still be hemmed in by their unwillingness to target ideologically inconvenient cost drivers. As my colleague Eric Kober has written, Mamdani’s housing aspirations are limited by his unwillingness to attack destructive policies like Mandatory Inclusionary Housing, the requirement that “a sizable percentage of units in new buildings in rezoned areas be offered at below-market rents.” Raman and Wilson’s nods to union-built housing similarly indicate that they still feel beholden to organized labor—a major driver of housing costs.

At its best, DSA YIMBYism gives with one hand while taking with the other. That’s a political strategy that’s palatable to their voters, but it’s not one that gets at the root causes of our affordability crisis, which is government’s comprehensive chokehold on the private sector.

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But the biggest question about the rise of the DSA mayors is not so much their approach to policy as it is the organization with which they are aligned. In 2020, many moderate Democrats found themselves in rooms with true radicals—people who had for years pushed police and prison abolition, and who took the opportunity to advance their goals when the time came. Making bedfellows with the DSA today runs the risk of the same dynamic emerging in the Democratic party tomorrow.

To be sure, Mamdani has tried to present a more moderate image in office. But other DSA electeds are not so circumspect. As my colleague Stu Smith has reported, DSA members in other local positions have been quite open in their willingness to use public office to advance their political interests, including rerouting public funds to activist-led “mutual aid” efforts and picking fights with Democrats to their right.

Meanwhile, the national DSA—the group with which all these mayors are ultimately affiliated—has veered further and further into extremism. As Smith has reported, the DSA just passed a platform that calls for abolishing the Department of War and “abolishing the carceral forces of the capitalist state” among other policy initiatives. It has also begun building a “self-defense” wing in part charged with preparing for a “national uprising,” and put a pro-political violence self-identified Maoist on the committee in charge of that effort. And it’s increasingly found common cause with groups likely funded by the Chinese Communist Party, and worked to advance the interests of the regime in Cuba.

Not every member of the DSA endorses these priorities, of course. But that supporters of political violence and sympathists for hostile foreign powers hold sway in the DSA’s institutional infrastructure is a reason to ask: are these really the sort of people to get in bed with?

One of the worst habits of the respectable liberal is to see in the far-left ideologue something admirable, however disagreeable. The center-left’s flirtation with DSA politics is not new; it is a repetition of an age-old pattern in American political life. Historically, Democrats embrace of radical Leftism has ended not in bold change, but electoral tears. But maybe this time will be different.

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bogorad
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It's time for transparent pricing in medicine

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LLM (google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-20260507) summary:

  • Price Transparency Requirement: mandatory disclosure of medical costs for procedures and drugs functions as the touted solution to industry opacity.
  • Market Distortion Claims: current financial structures mask true service value causing patients to irrationally overconsume medical treatments.
  • Profit Motive Reality: administrative and hospital decisions prioritize institutional gain over clinical necessity regardless of external narratives.
  • Consumer Agency Restoration: shifting toward direct cash payments for routine care is presented as a method to empower users against industry giants.
  • Cartel Behavior Accusations: the lack of competitive pricing is framed as a deliberate tactic to shield providers from market forces.
  • Chronic Systemic Complexity: institutional survival depends on an incomprehensible web of regulations that marginalizes independent medical practitioners.
  • Regulatory Capture Fears: large corporate entities thrive on the instability and complexity that smaller participants are unable to navigate.
  • Theoretical Reform Viability: simple policy changes are proposed as a fragile potential wedge against an otherwise monolithic and entrenched healthcare bureaucracy.

No surprise, Sunday’s article about 10 possible fixes for American healthcare sparked lots of reader suggestions, from minor to radical. I may run a second list with your ideas (or host a chat to discuss the issue).

But I was struck by how many of you pushed one seemingly simple change: requiring open pricing for medical procedures, services, and drugs whenever possible. This suggestion came up more than any other, even restricting drug advertising.

I agree. Open pricing may seem like a small change, but in fact it would have major philosophical and practical benefits.

(I’m committed to transparent pricing for Unreported Truths! Click to see!)

Our $5 trillion system encourages consumers, aka patients, to think of care as free — while setting up a maze of hidden financial incentives and honeypots that providers and administrators spend huge amounts of time navigating and fighting over.

Pretending medicine isn’t about money hasn’t made medicine less about money. It has just distorted the system in deeply destructive ways.

Even if doctors do not let financial incentives drive treatment decisions for individual patients (and some clearly do), profit drives every structural decision in American medicine, from where hospitals open satellite clinics to the drugs pharmacy benefits managers push to how quickly patients are discharged.

The list is endless.

Yet at the most crucial point of contact, we simply hide the price of treatments. Among other distortions, this fiction encourages patients to overconsume medical services. We implicitly assume we do not need to discourage people from seeking out healthcare. We imagine most healthy people will not go to doctors if they do not have to, so we do not have to regulate access to care.

But in the United States in 2026, that assumption no longer seems to hold.

We have an ever-increasing number of chronic conditions, often driven by unhealthy lifestyle choices, as well "sort-of" diseases with a strong psychosocial component. Drug company advertising fuels patient demand for the costliest possible treatments for all these conditions. (To a lesser extent, so does hospital and physician group advertising.) Under the circumstances, even completely healthy people may feel almost compelled to use the system, if only because they pay so much into it and get nothing back.

Meanwhile, the lack of open pricing discourages competition on price (obviously). This cartel-like behavior is particularly harmful because many procedures, particularly imaging and blood testing, have very low marginal costs. And routine imaging doesn’t always require expensive new equipment. Cheaper, older machines can deliver more than adequate results.1

In other words, independent providers may have more flexibility on price than patients (or even they) realize, especially for cash payors where insurance overhead isn’t a major cost.

As one reader wrote:

An absolutely crucial fact--that almost no one with conventional insurance even realizes--is that most day-to-day, routine medical tests, procedures, and drugs are very inexpensive. That's especially so in markets like Las Vegas, where I live, where there are many cash-pay customers. A chest X-ray is $23; a standard MRI is about $125; I had a CT scan 2 weeks ago that cost $103…

Of course, there are any number of conditions, medical emergencies, and specialized drugs that are astronomically expensive--that's why we all need some form of catastrophic insurance. But for the day-to-day, routine stuff, the less any 3rd party (insurance company, employer's benefits manager, government, hospital corporation) is involved, the better off everyone is.

Try a one-time donation!

It’ll save you money in the long run once we fix medicine!

And so we should require transparent pricing for a broad array of routine services — in doctors’ offices, in outpatient and urgent care facilities, in testing labs, even in hospitals where possible. Doing so will encourage price competition. It may also convince some people to start paying for routine services themselves and switch to higher-deductible insurance plans.

Most importantly, it will encourage people to think of routine medical care as simply another service — and help restore their agency over not just health, but the healthcare they consume.

Another reader put the problem — and the solution — in a larger context:

The core problem in American healthcare is not simply cost. It is complexity, and more importantly, the velocity of complexity.

Rules, reimbursement structures, compliance requirements, coding systems, network rules, and incentive structures change so rapidly that only very large institutions can realistically keep up. Hospitals, insurers, private equity groups, pharmaceutical companies, and large regulatory/compliance infrastructures adapt because they have armies of administrators and lawyers. Independent physicians and patients cannot.

That instability itself becomes a mechanism of control.

Direct physician-patient relationships, transparent pricing, and simple market feedback become harder and harder to sustain because the system is constantly shifting underneath everyone. The result is opacity. And opacity is where fraud, waste, abuse, and rent-seeking thrive.

The public can understand simple ideas:

* transparent pricing,

* aligned incentives,

* direct accountability,

* same rules for everyone,

* and reducing unnecessary intermediaries.

Implementing four out of those five suggestions would require massive structural changes that are essentially politically impossible in the current system.

But transparent pricing? That’s hard to argue against. That’s at least theoretically possible.

And maybe moving towards it will eventually help drive the rest.

1

As one reader wrote: I broke my foot and my insurance was billed almost $6K for the no contrast CT scan. I think the surgery with everything - anesthesia, doctor, titanium screws, etc. - was about $8K total and used techniques not available 10-15 years ago. CTs have been around since 1971 - over half a century. Utter BS.

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bogorad
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Spencer ‘Pratt Pack’ uncovers disturbing new mystery on Skid Row // A Spencer Pratt volunteer team made a startling discovery in Skid Row on Sunday: Ballots were everywhere, but almost nobody claimed they actually voted.

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  • Voter Registration Concerns: Volunteers in Los Angeles found a significant disparity between the number of mail-in ballots sent to individuals on Skid Row and the actual number of residents who recall casting those ballots.
  • Investigation Scope: Public records analysis identifies over 7,600 voter registrations linked to non-residential locations, including shelters, supportive housing, and addiction treatment centers.
  • Illegal Activities Alleged: Reports from local residents indicate that individuals have been offered cash or other incentives by third-party petition circulators in exchange for registering to vote.
  • Documented Criminal Charges: Federal prosecutors have charged a Marina del Rey woman with paying individuals, including homeless persons, to register to vote in connection with past petition collection activities.
  • Resident Testimony: Multiple residents contacted during outreach efforts stated they completed registration forms facilitated by canvassers but lacked any recollection of participating in an actual election.
  • Election Integrity Questions: The findings have raised questions regarding the chain of custody for mail-in ballots and the validity of large-scale registration drives conducted within transient populations.

","

A Spencer Pratt volunteer team has claimed they found lots of ballots were sent out on Skid Row – but few there actually voted in the Los Angeles mayoral race.

The California Post joined four members of the “Pratt Pack” on Sunday as they spent hours touring the run-down neighborhood.

Former California State Senate candidate Susan Collins interviews a resident on Skid Row. Rafael Fontoura for CA PostMichael Barnett being interviewed while waiting in line for food and clothes on Skid Row. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

They asked dozens of locals about voter registration, mail-in ballots and the petition gatherers who have worked the district for years trying to get them to vote.

It comes just a week after Pratt was dumped out of the race for mayor after Karen Bass won and Nithya Raman received a huge pile of mail-in ballots that saw her dramatically overtake him.

Susan Collins, a former California State Senate candidate who was part of the “Pratt Pack” on Sunday, told The Post: “What we’re finding is a lot of people being registered to vote, a lot of ballots being sent out, and nobody actually voted.”

Volunteers with Spencer Pratt’s election team spent several hours speaking with homeless residents throughout Skid Row about their experiences with voter registration drives. Rafael Fontoura for CA PostAn election worker processes mail-in ballots for the California state primary election at the Los Angeles County Ballot Processing Center in City of Industry. Getty Images

The California Post’s own investigation uncovered thousands of voter registrations.

A review of public records identified more than 7,600 registered voters linked to shelters, supportive housing projects, addiction treatment centers and social service agencies, including 1,160 registrations connected to the Midnight Mission in Skid Row.

One longtime local told volunteers on Sunday he personally knew the Marina del Rey woman recently charged by federal prosecutors with paying homeless people to register to vote.

Brenda Lee Brown Armstrong, known as “Anika,” was charged in May with paying another person to register to vote.

Skid Row is home to one of the largest concentrations of homeless residents in the United States. Rafael Fontoura for CA PostHomeless residents gather outside a service provider in Skid Row, where thousands of people rely on shelters, meal programs and outreach services each year. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

According to federal prosecutors, Armstrong worked for years as a paid petition circulator collecting signatures for California ballot measures and has agreed to plead guilty.

“She was right at this corner. This was her area,” Thadeus Brown told volunteers. Brown claimed people were routinely offered money or cigarettes to sign forms.

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“She’d give them $3 to $5. Some of the cheap people give them $2 and a cigarette,” he alleged. But Brown’s account echoed a theme volunteers said surfaced again and again throughout the day: residents remembered registering to vote.

They remembered petition gatherers. What many didn’t remember was actually casting a ballot.

Homeless residents gather in Skid Row, an area that has become the focus of questions surrounding voter registration drives and ballot distribution. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

The volunteers moved through tents, shelters, service centers and sidewalk encampments, interviewing people residents about their experiences with the drives.

“A lot of people never voted,” Brown said. “They did register, but they just wanted the names.”

Questions continue surrounding voter registrations linked to shelters, service providers and homeless communities. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

For Collins, who has spent years raising concerns about ballot collection practices, the most striking part of Sunday’s visit was hearing the same story repeated block after block.

“So what I’ve been hearing from a lot of people is that they registered to vote,” Collins said. “I have not found anybody that has actually voted.”

Members of the Pratt Pack fan out across Skid Row, interviewing residents about ballots, voter registrations and election-related outreach. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

“The big question now is what happened to all those ballots,” Collins said. “People remember getting them. They don’t remember voting. So where did the ballots go?”

Ann Juliano, who was visiting Skid Row for the first time, described the experience as eye-opening and said it strengthened her determination to stay involved rather than watch from afar.

“It was really intense,” Juliano said. “We saw a guy chasing another guy with a shovel and attacking him.”

A Skid Row resident shares his experiences during a Sunday outreach effort. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post

Juliano said she came to Skid Row looking for answers, convinced there was more to the election story than voters were being told.

“I guess being here is part of trying to figure out what happened. The numbers just don’t make sense. That’s why I’m digging deeper instead of sitting on the sidelines.”

What do you think? Post a comment.

“One thing I would like to say is that I think this election has forever changed Los Angeles,” she said. “At least that’s my hope, that people will feel empowered to keep talking about the truth and keep looking for the truth.”

","
Former California State Senate candidate Susan Collins interviews a resident on Skid Row.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Michael Barnett being interviewed while waiting in line for food and clothes on Skid Row.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Volunteers with Spencer Pratt's election team spent several hours speaking with homeless residents throughout Skid Row about their experiences with voter registration drives.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
An election worker processes mail-in ballots for the California state primary election at the Los Angeles County Ballot Processing Center in City of Industry.Getty Images
Skid Row is home to one of the largest concentrations of homeless residents in the United States. Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Homeless residents gather outside a service provider in Skid Row, where thousands of people rely on shelters, meal programs and outreach services each year.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Homeless residents gather in Skid Row, an area that has become the focus of questions surrounding voter registration drives and ballot distribution.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Questions continue surrounding voter registrations linked to shelters, service providers and homeless communities.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
Members of the Pratt Pack fan out across Skid Row, interviewing residents about ballots, voter registrations and election-related outreach.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
A Skid Row resident shares his experiences during a Sunday outreach effort.Rafael Fontoura for CA Post
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bogorad
2 days ago
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10 ways to save American healthcare! - by Alex Berenson

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LLM (google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-20260507) summary:

  • Monopoly Regulation: dismantle regional and academic hospital systems by enforcing strict limits on local market concentration
  • Executive Compensation: impose windfall salary taxes on executives at nonprofit hospital systems to align incentives with charitable missions
  • Vaccination Reform: transition to the danish vaccine schedule while ending universal hepatitis b shots at birth
  • Pharmaceutical Accountability: eliminate corporate profit incentives for drugs lacking proof of clinical benefit and require rigorous data reporting
  • Surgical Validation: allocate funding for placebo controlled clinical trials to verify the necessity of common minor surgeries
  • Research Restrictions: establish an international agreement to criminalize gain of function research involving dangerous pathogens
  • Insurance Limitations: restrict coverage for mental health and drug rehabilitation services unless supported by randomized controlled trial evidence
  • Catastrophic Coverage: authorize the market entry of inexpensive high deductible insurance policies to emphasize major medical risk protection

First things first: One week to Father’s Day. I’ll have more to say about THE FATHERHOOD MANIFESTO soon. Your emails have been very supportive, and the great reviews keep pouring in on Amazon.

So don’t wait. Get your copy now, in time for Father’s Day!

American medicine is a $5 trillion mess that eats anyone who tries to fix it (the knives are now out for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.).

But our healthcare doesn’t have to be this bad. I woke up thinking of 10 ways to improve it. (Yes, this is actually what I woke up this Sunday morning thinking about. I know, I need more hobbies.)

The first two are probably the most popular politically — and the least likely ever to go anywhere. But even the simplest of these would face huge political and economic obstacles. Still, that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try for them.

(Unreported Truths doesn’t take weekends off. Please support it!)

So, without further ado, here are 10 changes I’d make to the healthcare leviathan if I were in charge:

1: Break up local health care monopolies and oligopolies, particularly the “nonprofit” regional and academic hospital systems that have grown spiderwebs around nearly every metro area. Set strict limits on local concentration, recognizing that nearly all health care is delivered locally.

2: Set windfall salary taxes on executives at those systems. These hospitals pay no taxes. They are supposed to serve the public interest, not their executives. If they want to receive the benefits of ordinary charities, they should run like charities.

3: Move to the Danish vaccine schedule for children. Most importantly, end the recommendation for universal Hepatitis B shots at birth. Vaccinations are not public health theater and shouldn’t be treated that way. If a child isn’t at reasonable risk for contracting an illness she shouldn’t have to be vaccinated against it because other children are.

4: Prevent pharmaceutical companies from profiting from any medicine sold under the Food and Drug Administration’s “accelerated approval” program — that is, without proof of clinical benefit. In general, I think accelerated approval is a mistake. “Surrogate endpoints” like changes in the amount of protein a cell produces may or may not actually help a patient feel better or live longer, the changes that actually matter.

But if we are going to allow accelerated approvals, we have to force drug companies to follow through by producing real data proving those benefits. And pharma companies have shown they will drag their feet as long as they are making money from a drug sold under the accelerated program.

5: Begin a long-term program of funding placebo-controlled clinical trials to determine if common minor surgeries are helpful compared to rehabilitation, rest, and waiting. It’s more than surgery for meniscal tears — many surgeries have much weaker clinical evidence than people realize.

6: End all gain-of-function research designed to increase viral or bacteria transmissibility or dangerousness. Propose an international agreement making all such research a crime against humanity. Covid proved the risks of such research.

Beyond that, Covid revealed the fatal flaws in the theory (propounded by virologists, of course) that virologists need to run such research to determine the dangers of newly emerging viruses. After all, they didn’t predict Covid, or any of the evolutionary pathways it took. We cannot predict how pathogens will evolve in the wild, only respond to them when they do.

Setting a bright line on this issue is particularly important at a time when artificial intelligence tools may give private and non-state researchers a greater ability to pursue gain-of-function research.

If such research must be conducted at all, it should be run in a handful of government-run labs worldwide — no more than one in any country — that are internationally supervised.

Like these ideas? Consider a one-time donation to Unreported Truths! Don’t like them? Donate anyway!

7: End insurance parity between mental health and physical health conditions (except for psychiatric drug treatments that have randomized controlled trial evidence supporting them). I know this one will be very controversial with many of you.

But we have next to no evidence that mental health care works, and the nebulousness of these conditions allows the creation of expensive honeypots like autism behavioral therapy.

8: At a minimum, sharply cut back on drug addiction rehab coverage, which is incredibly expensive, fails to reduce addiction or relapse when it is tested, and actually encourages unscrupulous operators and companies to recycle addicts through programs to survive. Insurance companies should be required to provide one 30- to 60-day rehab every five years; after that the addict or his family is responsible for covering the cost.

9: Allow insurance companies to create and sell inexpensive, high-deductible health insurance products — true catastrophic insurance. This would return health insurance to its roots and make it more like other insurance products; your home insurance covers serious damage to your house, not fixing a faucet.

10: End medical aid in dying programs. When a patient has days or weeks left with a terminal illness, the difference between pain control and hastening life’s end can be impossible to distinguish. (Even then, physicians should be cautious.) Outside of that boundary, doctors should not be in the euthanasia business. The experience of Canada, Belgium, and other countries shows these programs inevitably metastasize.

If people are too afraid to kill themselves to do so without a doctor’s help to make the process effortless and painless, they probably shouldn’t be killing themselves. And doctors — who are in the business of healing —- should not be helping them.

(Whew! That was 10! Reward yourself for getting to the end with a subscription.)

So. At least for today, Those are my Top 10 American Healthcare Fixes (TM).

Looking forward to hearing what you think of them — and your own suggestions.

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cherjr
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bogorad
2 days ago
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Anthropic Mythos Ban Shows AI Needs an Expert Board

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LLM (google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-20260507) summary:

  • Government intervention: the state ordered the withdrawal of anthropic model fable and mythos citing national security concerns
  • Restrictive access: current regulations prohibit foreign nationals including company engineers from using the affected artificial intelligence tools
  • Technical justification: findings suggest the models helped identify software flaws which experts assert serves defensive security purposes
  • Historical comparison: experts compare these actions to nineties regulation of encryption software which eventually failed to contain global technological spread
  • Competitive impact: industry analysts argue that restrictive controls handicap legitimate domestic firms while failing to stop technological advancement
  • Regulatory scrutiny: anthropic previously advocated for clear processes but criticized the recent order for lacking transparency and substantive evidence
  • Administrative authority: critics challenge the reliance on opaque political directives rather than standardized technical verification boards
  • Proposed reform: a structure using independent researchers and lawyers could provide the constitutional oversight required for technology regulation


"It's a complete overreaction," Katie Moussouris said of the order that pulled Anthropic's two most capable AI models off the market on Friday. Moussouris, chief executive of the security firm Luta Security, had read the report the government acted on. Citing national security, the United States told Anthropic to cut off Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to every foreign national on earth, including the company's own foreign-born engineers, and to comply the company shut the models off for everyone.

The triggering finding is narrow. A researcher prompted Fable to read a codebase and patch its software flaws, the daily work of the people who defend networks for a living. Moussouris told the Wall Street Journal that the model's output would be of more use to defenders than to attackers, "exactly the kind of prompting that defenders would do." Anthropic says rival public models, OpenAI's GPT-5.5 among them, surface the same minor bugs with no jailbreak at all.

The quarrel behind the order is not new. The Pentagon branded Anthropic a supply-chain risk in March, advisers including David Sacks accused the company of "fear-mongering" and regulatory capture, and officials had pressed it to delay these very models. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's letter arrived on a Friday evening, days before an expected public offering that values Anthropic at $965 billion. Dean Ball, who advised the previous Trump White House on AI, called the order "baffling" and warned that "you should expect to have to prove your citizenship to use Anthropic models."

ITAR and the PGP years.

We have run this experiment before. In the 1990s the government classified strong encryption as a munition under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations and investigated the programmer Phil Zimmermann for letting PGP loose on the internet. The export rules treated mathematics as ordnance, and they failed for a plain reason: the math was already abroad, so the controls handicapped American firms while the capability spread anyway. In 1999 a federal appeals court ruled in Bernstein v. United States that source code is protected speech, and the munitions theory of cryptography collapsed within a year. Peter Girnus, a threat researcher at the Zero Day Initiative, drew the same line to Business Insider, noting that this time "the munition is in the building and the people who made it are not allowed to look at it."

The rule Anthropic asked for.

Anthropic spent the spring arguing for the exact power Washington just used, with one condition on it. In its Policy on the AI Exponential, the company wrote that government should be able to block unsafe deployments through a process that is "transparent, fair, clear, and grounded in technical facts." A letter that withholds its evidence, offers only verbal proof of a narrow jailbreak, and locks out a company's own engineers meets none of those conditions. Recalling a model "deployed to hundreds of millions of people" over a finding this thin, Anthropic argued, "would essentially halt all new model deployments for all frontier model providers."

Make them show their work.

The honest position is not that models are harmless. Some may not be, and the state should be able to halt a genuinely dangerous one. The open question is who decides, and on what evidence. The Pentagon's chief information officer, Kirsten Davies, gave her answer on X: "Some things are simply more important than revenue cycles, clickbait, and pre-IPO valuation. America First. Always." That is a political standard, set by an antagonist in an ongoing fight.

A standing board would answer on different ground.

Seat AI researchers, security scientists, ethicists, and constitutional lawyers on it, wall it off from the administration of the day, and swear its members to the Constitution rather than to any Secretary. Give it the evidence in writing and let it rule in the open, on the technical record, with reasons a court could read. A body like that could still have pulled Fable, had the facts demanded it. The country would know why.

The government may take a tool away from the world. It should at least have to show its work.

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Marcus Schuler

Marcus Schuler

San Francisco

Editor-in-Chief and founder of Implicator.ai. Former ARD correspondent and senior broadcast journalist with 10+ years covering tech. Writes daily briefings on policy and market developments. Based in San Francisco. E-mail: <a href="mailto:editor@implicator.ai">editor@implicator.ai</a>

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The U.S. Military Quietly Turned GPS Into a Global ‘Numbers Station,’ Evidence Suggests

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LLM (google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite-20260507) summary:

  • Military infrastructure: the us military utilizes public gps satellites to broadcast encrypted data globally
  • Secret communication: satellites function as clandestine numbers stations to transmit sensitive cryptographic keys
  • Hidden channel: investigators identified a specific sequence known as subframe 4 page 17 as the source of transmission
  • Operational method: the over the air distribution system enables remote delivery of security keys to military field hardware
  • Data discovery: analysis of twelve million gps observations confirms the patterns align with declassified military deployment timelines
  • Technical shift: system updates observed in recent years suggest possible infrastructure modernization or new communication protocols
  • Ubiquitous access: every gps enabled device currently receives these transmissions despite a lack of public awareness
  • Research approach: open source archives provide sufficient information for external experts to monitor government signaling activities

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The U.S. military has likely been quietly broadcasting codes for its global encryption network using public GPS for nearly 20 years, turning each satellite into a hidden “numbers station,” according to Steven Murdoch, an information security expert, who detailed his findings in a new article in Inside GNSS.

That means every device that uses GPS has been receiving hidden government information for years, and nobody outside the military knew it until now. 

Murdoch, a professor of security engineering and head of the Information Security Research Group at University College London, presented evidence that a 176-bit GPS sequence labelled “Subframe 4, Page 17” is encrypted material from the Pentagon’s Over-the-Air Distribution (OTAD) network, which delivers cryptographic keys to military personnel around the world.

“I think the evidence that it's for key transmission—for use in distributing the keys for accessing the military GPS signals—is pretty strong now,” Murdoch said in a call with 404 Media. He noted that the military has “specialized receivers that have the ability to have keys loaded into them” and “presumably have the ability to decrypt these special messages.”

In his new article, Murdoch described how this “forgotten 176-bit slot in the world’s most successful navigation signal turned out to be its quietest and most consequential broadcast.”

Murdoch first spotted the sequence more than a decade ago while he was a graduate student tasked with writing a decoder for raw GPS data while working on a project funded by the European Space Agency.

“I noticed that there was this random-looking data present in the subframe,” he recalled. “I looked at the specification, and thought that was a little bit unusual. I recorded a bunch of it to look for any obvious patterns, but that wasn't the main role of the project, so we moved on.”

From the beginning, he suspected that the subframe field contained encrypted transmissions because the data was so random. “Random data is actually very unusual to get in nature,” Murdoch said. “If you see it, either it's been carefully designed to be random—but then, why is someone sending out random data?—or it's encrypted data. I thought encrypted data is by far the most likely explanation.”

He returned to the subframe on and off over the years, and solicited guesses about its content on Stack Exchange in 2023. Ahmed Kamruddin, a master’s student at UCL, developed the project further in 2025. Then, this year, Murdoch put the last pieces of the puzzle together over several weeks by analyzing open archive Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) recordings collected since 2007 and kept by GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences.  

This dataset included more than 12 million observations of Subframe 4, Page 17, yielding 3,994 unique 176-bit messages. Within this corpus, Murdoch pinpointed key-repeating “sentinels” including a pattern that appeared in February 2010 and was broadcast on and off across dozens of satellites for more than a decade. 

Murdoch discovered that this particular sentinel was transmitted by all 31 operational satellites within a window of a few hours on May 26, 2011, potentially heralding the activation of a new operational system. He confirmed that this timeline coincided with the rollout of the military’s Over-the-Air Distribution (OTAD) and the Over-the-Air Rekeying (OTAR) by cross-referencing declassified documents, including a 2015 presentation about the dates of the operation. 

“There was a perfect match between the timeline and that presentation and the change points that were automatically identified from the data,” Murdoch said. “That was the smoking gun that made me think: This is what it's for.”

These automated systems replaced the cumbersome manual distribution of cryptographic keying material, allowing military GPS receivers around the world to be rekeyed remotely through satellite broadcasts rather than through onsite procedures.

For the next 11 years, this expansive rekeying operation was overlooked in public GPS data. In 2022, the system entered a new phase, according to Murdoch’s analysis. The shift was characterized by a slowing in the message rotation rate. Later, in December 2023, broadcasts carrying a distinctive "TEXT" prefix emerged then gradually spread across the constellation.

Murdoch isn’t sure what explains the recent transition, though it could be a possible modernization of the infrastructure or the introduction of a new protocol. But to him, the bigger takeaway is that the signals were always available for anyone willing to take a closer look, a discovery that suggests that there could be more revelations hidden for the cryptographically curious among us.

“Every receiver in the world decodes Subframe 4, Page 17,” Murdoch said in his new article. “Almost none of them have ever looked at it. The lesson generalizes: There is more to learn from the bytes already arriving at our antennas than from the bytes we wish were specified differently. The data are publicly available. The signal is overhead, twice a day, every day.” 

“Every GPS satellite is a numbers station,” he concluded. “The receivers were always listening. We just had not been.”   

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